| Title : | The signal and the noise : why so many predictions fail - but some don't |
| Material Type: | printed text |
| Authors: | Nate Silver, Author |
| Publisher: | New York : Penguin Books |
| Publication Date: | 2015 |
| Pagination: | xvii, 536 p. |
| Layout: | ill. |
| Size: | 22 cm |
| General note: | Includes bibliographical references and index |
| Languages : | English (eng) Original Language : English (eng) |
| Descriptors: | Bayesian statistical decision theory
Forecasting - History
Forecasting - Methodology
Knowledge, Theory of
|
| Class number: | 519.5 |
| Abstract: | "The signal and the noise"- The author has built an innovative system for predicting baseball performance, predicted the 2008 election within a hair's breadth, and has become a national sensation as a blogger. Drawing on his own groundbreaking work, he examines the world of prediction. |
| Contents note: | A catastrophic failure of prediction; Are you smarter than a television pundit?; All I care about is W's and L's; For years you've been telling us that rain is green; Desperately seeking signal; How to drown in three feet of water; Role models; Less and less and less wrong; Rage against the machines; The poker bubble; If you can't beat 'em; A climate of healthy skepticism; What you don't know can hurt you; |
| Record link: | https://library.seeu.edu.mk/index.php?lvl=notice_display&id=18071 |
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The signal and the noise / Nate Silver
